Quick decision
TQWL confirmation chances by number
| Status | Chance | Best action |
|---|---|---|
| TQWL 1 | 15-25% confirmation chance | Book backup; Tatkal cancellations are rare |
| TQWL 2 | 5-15% confirmation chance | Very risky; book alternative |
| TQWL 3+ | Usually below 5% | Do not depend on this ticket |
What TQWL 1 means
TQWL 1 means you are at waitlist position 1 in the Tatkal Waitlist (TQWL) pool. TQWL is the waitlist for the Tatkal quota. Tatkal passengers rarely cancel, so movement is very limited. At this position, the confirmation rate is approximately 15–25% — rated Low.
TQWL 1 probability by route and class
TQWL 1 occasionally confirms when Tatkal passengers cancel. This varies by route (busy metro routes like Delhi-Mumbai or Delhi-Kolkata have more cancellations), class (Sleeper class moves faster than AC classes because it has more seats), season (festival periods have fewer cancellations and lower confirmation rates), and how many days remain before chart preparation.
What to do now
TQWL 1 has a small chance if a Tatkal passenger cancels. Keep the ticket and book an alternative for the same day — cancel whichever you don't use.
How TQWL 1 compares
For reference: TQWL 1 has a 15–25% probability and TQWL 6 has a <5% probability. A full breakdown is available in the Tatkal Waitlist guide at pnralert.in/blog/tqwl-confirmation-chances.